ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Scotland vs Ireland

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

On 13 June 2026, Scotland and Ireland will contest a women's T20 World Cup match. A YES share on this market pays out if the match occurs and produces a winner (including via Super Over or other on-field tiebreak); a NO share pays out if the match is cancelled, abandoned without a result, or forfeited. The current probability of 100% YES reflects the expectation that the fixture will be completed as scheduled. Settlement relies on ESPN Cricinfo's official match record, which typically publishes results within hours of play concluding.

Women's T20 World Cup matches between associate nations have historically proceeded as planned, though weather interruptions in June remain a material risk depending on the venue. Scotland and Ireland have met in T20 World Cups before; both teams qualified for recent tournaments, establishing their administrative and logistical capacity to field squads. The 100% probability suggests traders view cancellation or abandonment as negligible, though this reflects confidence in ICC scheduling rather than certainty of play completion on the day.

Key variables to monitor include venue confirmation and weather forecasts as June approaches. The ICC typically announces final venues and match schedules 6–12 months before tournaments; any late venue changes could affect ground readiness. Team injury announcements or squad withdrawals, whilst unlikely to prevent the match entirely, would be tracked by serious traders. The settlement window closes 20 June 2026, allowing five days for result publication and any official clarifications from the ICC.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). The odds column is filled only where we have clean data — that avoids the made-up numbers that get a network demoted when search engines cross-check against the source venue.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.