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Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Five-platform snapshot of "Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage" — live Polymarket pricing, plus how Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold structure the same contract.

Match Winner 61% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 48% Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5) 39% Volume: $283K Liquidity: $62K Closes: 2 Jul 2026
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Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
61% 39% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
61% 39% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Match Winner61%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.548%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Team Nemesis (+3.5)39%

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, counter-strike: b8 vs team nemesis (bo1) - xse pro league group stage stands at 61% likelihood according to current market consensus. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between B8 and Team Nemesis in the XSE Pro League Group Stage, initially scheduled for July 2 at 9:00AM ET. This market will…

Methodology

This page reviews Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stage across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?
Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like Prediction Market UK trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.
and

Trade Counter-Strike: B8 vs Team Nemesis (BO1) - XSE Pro L… on Prediction Market UK

Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.

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