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Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

Map Handicap: TdP (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5) 100% Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Turma do Pagode (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5) 100% Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Turma do Pagode (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5) 100% Volume: $63K Closes: 30 Sept 2026
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Counter-Strike: Procyon Gaming vs Turma do Pagode (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick
polygram.ink (preferred broker)
100% 0% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle See live odds →
Polymarket (direct)
polymarket.com
100% 0% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain See live odds →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
— — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD See live odds →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
— — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR See live odds →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
— — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) See live odds →

Outcome probabilities

Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.

OutcomeProbability
Map Handicap: TdP (-1.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+1.5)100%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Turma do Pagode (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5)100%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Turma do Pagode (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5)100%
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.550%
Map 3 Rounds Handicap: Turma do Pagode (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5)50%
Map 1 Winner0%
Map 2 Winner0%
Match Winner0%
O/U 2.5 Games0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Turma do Pagode (-3.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+3.5)0%
Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%
Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Turma do Pagode (-6.5) vs Procyon Gaming (+6.5)0%
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 24.50%

Market context

Market consensus: 100% chance of counter-strike: procyon gaming vs turma do pagode (bo3) - esl challenger league south america cup #2 playoffs. Prediction markets aggregate real capital to produce this probability signal. This market refers to the Counter-Strike Grand Final match between Procyon Gaming and Turma do Pagode in the ESL Challenger League South America Cup #2 Playoffs, initially schedule…

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote, four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

UK Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
and

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