Algeria vs. Austria - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The real-world event is the FIFA World Cup group-stage match between Algeria and Austria, set for 10:00 PM ET on 27 June 2026, where the final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time determines the outcome. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the exact score listed in the market occurs, while a NO share pays out if any other score happens; here, the market offers 21% implied probability for a specific exact score, meaning the crowd believes that outcome is relatively unlikely but not impossible.

Historically, this fixture carries deep emotional weight from the 1982 “Disgrace of Gijón”, when Austria and West Germany’s 1-0 result eliminated Algeria from the tournament, a match that later forced FIFA to play final group games simultaneously to prevent collusion[1]. Comparable low-probability exact-score outcomes in World Cup group matches often hover between 15% and 25%, depending on team form and defensive records, which aligns with the current 21% crowd-implied probability for this specific scoreline.

Traders should monitor the official line-ups released before kick-off, as both teams sit with three points and a draw would likely send Austria through on goal difference, possibly encouraging cautious play[2][6]. Recent reports confirm both sides are dismissing any attempt to avoid winning, suggesting they will compete fully rather than manipulate the result[6]. With the match being one of the last group games played in this World Cup, all four teams in Group J will know their standing immediately after, adding urgency to the contest[5].

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews Algeria vs. Austria - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.