Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
9% | 91% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
9% | 91% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Brazil 0 - 0 Morocco | 9% YES | 92% NO |
| Brazil 0 - 1 Morocco | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| Brazil 1 - 0 Morocco | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Brazil 0 - 2 Morocco | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Brazil 1 - 1 Morocco | 14% YES | 87% NO |
| Brazil 2 - 0 Morocco | 13% YES | 88% NO |
Market context
Brazil and Morocco will meet in the group stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup on 13 June at 6:00 PM ET. This market asks traders to predict the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation play plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shootouts. A YES share settles if the match ends in one of the explicitly listed scorelines; a NO share settles if the final score differs from all listed outcomes, which the market terms "Any Other Score." The settlement window closes at 22:00 UTC on 13 June, giving traders until after the match concludes to adjust positions.
Brazil's historical dominance in World Cup fixtures provides one lens for evaluating the 9% implied probability. Since 2010, Brazil has averaged 1.8 goals per group-stage match whilst conceding 0.6 per game. Morocco's defensive record is stronger—0.9 goals conceded per match in recent World Cup campaigns—but the team has managed only 1.1 goals scored per outing. The specificity required to predict an exact scoreline makes any single outcome inherently unlikely; the market's current probability reflects both Brazil's favouritism and the mathematical rarity of matching a precise result.
Traders should monitor team news through early June, particularly injury updates to key players and final squad announcements. Fixture congestion in the preceding club season may affect player fitness. The draw structure, confirmed in December 2022, places Brazil and Morocco in Group F alongside Spain and a playoff winner, meaning both teams' group-stage positioning and motivation will be set well before kickoff. No recent schedule changes or postponements have been announced.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $542K.
Methodology
This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
Trade Brazil vs. Morocco - Exact Score on Prediction Market UK
Live order book, 0% fees, USDC settlement in seconds.
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