Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
23% | 77% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
23% | 77% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| O/U 3.5 | 23% Over | 78% Under |
| O/U 5.5 | 4% Over | 96% Under |
| Colombia (-1.5) | 36% Colombia | 65% DR Congo |
| Colombia (-2.5) | 16% Colombia | 85% DR Congo |
| DR Congo (-2.5) | 1% DR Congo | 99% Colombia |
| O/U 0.5 | 92% Over | 9% Under |
Market context
On Tuesday 23 June 2026, Colombia and the Democratic Republic of Congo face off in a FIFA World Cup Group K match at Estadio Akron in Guadalajara, with the game kicking off at 8pm local time. For newcomers to prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the market’s specific condition occurs—here, that “more markets” will be offered for this game—while a NO share wins if it does not. The crowd currently assigns a 23% chance to YES, implying modest confidence that additional betting options will follow this fixture.
Historically, Colombia has won seven of their last ten World Cup matches since 2014 and secured each of their last three against African opposition, whereas DR Congo has lost twice to South American teams in recent World Cup history[2][10]. This pattern of Colombian dominance over African sides and their strong qualification record—seven wins in 18 games—frames why the market may be cautious about expanding markets for a match where one side is heavily favoured[5]. Traders should watch for official announcements from FIFA or the tournament organisers regarding new market launches, as these are typically released shortly after the match concludes or during live play[4]. Recent coverage notes that Juan Camilo Hernandez and Cedric Bakambu, teammates at Real Betis, will face each other, adding a narrative layer that could influence market expansion decisions[7].
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $273K.
Methodology
This page reviews Colombia vs. DR Congo - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.
Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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