England vs. Ghana - Exact Score

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

On 23 June 2026 at Boston Stadium, England and Ghana will meet for the first time in FIFA World Cup history, with the match kicking off at 4:00 PM ET. This prediction market settles on the exact score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalty shoot-outs. A YES share means you believe the final score will match one of the explicitly listed outcomes; a NO share means you expect any other score. With the current crowd-implied probability at 5% for YES, the market suggests the listed exact scores are unlikely, reflecting the inherent difficulty of predicting precise football results.

Historically, exact-score markets in major tournaments rarely exceed 10–15% probability for any single outcome, as even strong teams face defensive variability and random events. England and Ghana have only met once before at senior men’s level—a 2011 friendly where England won 1–0 via Andy Carroll’s goal[1]. In World Cup history, Ghana has reached the quarter-finals in 2010 but has never faced England in the tournament[7]. This lack of prior competitive history, combined with both teams’ current Group L standings (each with 3 points after one win)[2], makes precise score prediction highly uncertain, aligning with the low 5% YES probability.

Traders should monitor pre-match line-ups, injury updates, and tactical shifts announced by both national teams, as these directly influence scoring potential. Recent training footage shows both squads preparing intensively, with England featuring Harry Kane and Ghana highlighting Semenyo[5][6]. BBC One will broadcast the match live in the UK, offering real-time tactical insights[1]. Any postponement or cancellation would keep the market open until completion, so schedule dependencies and weather conditions at Boston Stadium are critical catalysts to watch before the settlement window closes on 23 June 2026 at 20:00:00Z.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page reviews England vs. Ghana - Exact Score across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.