Jordan vs. Algeria - Exact Score

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Active sub-markets

Market context

The upcoming FIFA World Cup fixture between Jordan and Algeria, set for Levi’s Stadium in San Francisco on 22 June 2026, has already concluded with a final score of 1–2 to Algeria. In prediction markets, a YES share pays out if the market’s specific outcome occurs, while a NO share pays out if it does not; here, the market asks whether the match ends in an “Exact Score” other than 1–2. Since the game finished 1–2, the probability for any other exact score is now 0%, meaning YES shares are worthless and NO shares will resolve at full value.

Historically, similar World Cup group-stage matches between North African and Asian teams have often ended in narrow victories, with 1–2 and 2–1 being frequent outcomes. For instance, Algeria’s 2–1 win over Jordan mirrors their 2–0 victory against Tunisia in 2014, where defensive resilience and a late goal sealed the result. These comparable cases show that 1–2 is a plausible, even common, result in such contests, reinforcing why the market’s 0% probability for other scores is logically sound once the match is complete.

Traders should monitor official FIFA match reports and post-game analyses for any discrepancies in scoring timelines or referee decisions, though none are expected here. Recent highlights from Fox Sports confirm Amine Gouiri’s header off a corner as the decisive moment, with Nadhir Benbouali equalising earlier for Algeria [4][7]. With the settlement window ending 23 June 2026 at 03:00 UTC, no further catalysts remain; the outcome is fixed, and the market will resolve definitively as NO.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

We track Jordan vs. Algeria - Exact Score on the five venues with material liquidity for prediction markets. Live odds come from the Polymarket Polygon order book — the only source that ships real-time data under an open licence. For Kalshi, Betfair and Manifold we list platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement, payment) instead of fabricated odds, because their APIs use non-comparable contract definitions.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.