Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde - Player Props

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

Uruguay and Cabo Verde met in the FIFA World Cup group stage in Miami, with FIFA listing a 22:00 kick-off and ESPN later recording the match as a 2-2 draw. In a player-prop market, a **YES** share pays out if the named player statistic or event happens under the market’s exact rules, while **NO** pays if it does not, so the key is not just who wins but whether a specific player outcome lands before the settlement window closes.

The 0% crowd-implied probability suggests traders have not seen a clear, priced pathway for the relevant player event, which is plausible in a match where pre-game models leaned towards Uruguay but still expected a relatively modest scoreline. Dimers had Uruguay as the most likely winner at roughly 67.6%, with a 2.5-goal total priced near even money and a 0-1 correct score highlighted as the single most likely outcome; SportsLine and other previews also pointed to Uruguay being favoured and to a lower-scoring game. That kind of backdrop usually matters more for player props tied to goals, assists, shots, or cards than for the result market itself.

The main catalysts are starting line-ups, late injury or rotation news, and whether a player is expected to play the full match or be managed for tournament load. FIFA’s match-centre page is the cleanest source for official line-ups and live updates, while pre-match odds can shift if either side makes unexpected changes. For newer traders, the practical dependency is simple: a prop only becomes attractive if the player is confirmed to start, the tactical role is clear, and the market’s definition matches the matchday reality before settlement at 22:00 UTC on 21 June.

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Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.