Los Angeles Sparks vs. Toronto Tempo

Platform comparison

Active sub-markets

Market context

The underlying event is a WNBA match between the Los Angeles Sparks and the Toronto Tempo, which took place on 25 June at 7:00 PM ET at Coca-Cola Coliseum. In this game, the Toronto Tempo defeated the Los Angeles Sparks with a final score of 125–97, meaning the market has already resolved to "Toronto Tempo". A YES share in this prediction market represents a bet that the Los Angeles Sparks will win; a NO share bets they will not. Since the game has concluded and the Sparks lost, the crowd-implied probability of 0% YES correctly reflects the settled outcome.

Historically, similar single-game WNBA markets have resolved definitively once the final score is confirmed, with no reopening unless a game is postponed or cancelled entirely. In past cases where a team lost by a large margin, such as the 28-point deficit seen here, the probability of a win collapses to zero immediately after the broadcast ends, mirroring the current 0% YES reading. This aligns with how Polymarket and other platforms handle settled sports outcomes, where volume drops sharply once the result is known [2].

Traders should monitor official WNBA announcements regarding game cancellations or postponements, as these are the only conditions that keep a market open. For this fixture, no such delays occurred, and the game proceeded as scheduled. Recent recaps from ESPN and Yahoo confirm the final score and player statistics, including Marina Mabrey’s record-breaking 53-point performance for the Tempo [1][4]. With the settlement window closed and the result confirmed, no further catalysts will alter the market’s resolution.

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

What's the difference between YES and NO shares?

A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

Do I need to KYC for this market?

Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.

How reliable are the quoted odds?

The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.