Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
100% | 0% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
100% | 0% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx | 100% Washington Mystics | 0% Minnesota Lynx |
| O/U 168.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Spread -13.5 | 0% Minnesota Lynx | 100% Washington Mystics |
| O/U 167.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Spread -14.5 | 0% Minnesota Lynx | 100% Washington Mystics |
| O/U 170.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
Market context
The Washington Mystics beat the Minnesota Lynx 84-79 in their June 21 WNBA game, so a market on the winner would resolve to **Washington Mystics** rather than **Minnesota Lynx**.[1] For someone new to prediction markets, a **YES** share pays out if the stated outcome happens, while a **NO** share pays out if it does not; here, that means the contract is simply asking which team won the game once the final score is official, including overtime if played.
The price can be read as the market’s crowd-implied probability, but it is only useful when matched to the settlement rules. In this case, the game was scheduled for June 21 at 6:00 p.m. ET, and the result would depend on the completed contest rather than pre-game expectations.[1][6] That matters because the Lynx entered as the stronger side on paper: ESPN listed Minnesota at 13-4 and Washington at 8-7 before tip-off, with the Lynx priced as heavy moneyline favourites.[1] In other words, a near-100% reading in a winner-takes-all market would normally imply overwhelming confidence in one side, but the actual game result shows why settlement should always be checked against the final score, not the pre-match odds.[1]
For traders, the main catalysts are straightforward: official postponement, cancellation, or a change to the fixture time, plus any league or venue announcement that affects whether the game is completed within the settlement window ending 2026-06-21T22:00:00Z. The game was listed at Target Center in Minneapolis, and the current ESPN result page confirms the matchup was played and finalised, which usually removes most settlement uncertainty unless there is a dispute over official scoring.[1][6][4]
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $516K.
Methodology
This page reviews Washington Mystics vs. Minnesota Lynx across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- Do I need to KYC for this market?
- Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
- How reliable are the quoted odds?
- The YES/NO percentages are the live mid-prices of the Polymarket order book. On deep markets they move every few seconds; on thinner ones you'll see short plateaus.
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