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IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner

How the prediction-market book is pricing "IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

33 outcomes · leader: Vitality at 48%

Vitality 48% Outcomes: 32 Runner-up: 17% Volume: $8.8M 24h volume: $1.2M Liquidity: $1.7M Opened: 6 Apr 2026 Closes: 21 Jun 2026 15 comments

Resolution criteria: This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be officia

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IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner

Market statistics

Total volume
$8.8M
24h volume
$1.2M
Liquidity
$1.7M
Open interest
$374K
Comments
15

Available prediction outcomes (33)

Sorted by descending live probability. Click any outcome to trade it on PolyGram.

#1 Vitality
Vitality ▲ +1.0%
Vol $387K · 24h $36K
48% Trade →
#2 Team Spirit
Team Spirit ▼ -2.0%
Vol $360K · 24h $71K
17% Trade →
#3 Natus Vincere
Natus Vincere ▲ +1.1%
Vol $279K · 24h $30K
9% Trade →
#4 Falcons
Falcons
Vol $272K · 24h $18K
8% Trade →
#5 FURIA
FURIA
Vol $242K · 24h $16K
5% Trade →
#6 MOUZ
MOUZ ▲ +0.1%
Vol $233K · 24h $18K
2% Trade →
#7 The MongolZ
The MongolZ
Vol $237K · 24h $15K
2% Trade →
#8 FUT
FUT ▲ +0.1%
Vol $257K · 24h $14K
2% Trade →
#9 Aurora
Aurora ▲ +0.2%
Vol $231K · 24h $13K
2% Trade →
#10 PARIVISION
PARIVISION
Vol $243K · 24h $17K
2% Trade →
#11 Legacy
Legacy
Vol $241K · 24h $21K
1% Trade →
#12 G2
G2
Vol $245K · 24h $21K
1% Trade →
#13 GamerLegion
GamerLegion ▲ +0.3%
Vol $258K · 24h $58K
1% Trade →
#14 Astralis
Astralis
Vol $224K · 24h $21K
1% Trade →
#15 BetBoom
BetBoom ▲ +0.1%
Vol $264K · 24h $22K
1% Trade →
#16 9z
9z ▲ +0.1%
Vol $232K · 24h $21K
1% Trade →
#17 paiN
paiN
Vol $243K · 24h $8K
1% Trade →
#18 B8
B8 ▲ +0.1%
Vol $280K · 24h $31K
0% Trade →
#19 M80
M80 ▲ +0.1%
Vol $298K · 24h $40K
0% Trade →
#20 BIG
BIG
Vol $277K · 24h $28K
0% Trade →
#21 Team Liquid
Team Liquid ▲ +0.1%
Vol $252K · 24h $31K
0% Trade →
#22 MIBR
MIBR ▲ +0.1%
Vol $288K · 24h $46K
0% Trade →
#23 Monte
Monte
Vol $226K · 24h $14K
0% Trade →
#24 FlyQuest
FlyQuest ▲ +0.1%
Vol $372K · 24h $128K
0% Trade →
#25 HEROIC
HEROIC ▼ -0.1%
Vol $274K · 24h $30K
0% Trade →
#26 Sharks
Sharks
Vol $212K · 24h $15K
0% Trade →
#27 NRG
NRG
Vol $293K · 24h $52K
0% Trade →
#28 Lynn Vision
Lynn Vision
Vol $339K · 24h $126K
0% Trade →
#29 TYLOO
TYLOO ▼ -0.2%
Vol $297K · 24h $17K
0% Trade →
#30 SINNERS
SINNERS ▼ -0.1%
Vol $413K · 24h $102K
0% Trade →
#31 Gaimin Gladiators
Gaimin Gladiators
Vol $254K · 24h $1K
0% Trade →
#32 Thunder downunder
Thunder downunder
Vol $294K · 24h $130K
0% Trade →
#33 Other
Other
0% Trade →

Market context

This market will resolve according to the winner of the IEM Cologne 2026 tournament, currently scheduled for June 2nd - June 21st, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after July 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a winner has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. If multiple teams are declared winners, this market will resolve in favor of the team whose listed team name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be officia

Wikipedia Context

  • IEM Cologne Major 2026
    IEM Cologne Major 2026

    The Intel Extreme Masters Cologne Major 2026, simply known as IEM Cologne Major 2026, will be the fifth Counter-Strike 2 Major Championship and twenty-fourth Counter-Strike Major overall. It will be held in Cologne, Germany from June 2 to June 21, 2026, with the playoffs held at the Lanxess Arena, while each Stage 3 match will be held in front of live audien

  • Imm Cologne
    Imm Cologne

    The imm Cologne is an international, publicly open furniture trade show held at Koelnmesse exhibition centre in Cologne, Germany, every year in January.

  • Intel Extreme Masters Season X – Cologne

    Intel Extreme Masters Season X – Cologne was an esports event held at the ESL Arena in Cologne from 18 to 20 December 2015. There was only a tournament for League of Legends.

Methodology

Methodologically we separate two layers: the live probability (Polymarket mid-price) and the platform attributes (fee, KYC, settlement currency, payment rails). That keeps the comparison honest — a single canonical probability across the row, with the venue-by-venue trade-offs spelt out in the columns next to it.

Resolution & payout

Settlement runs on-chain. Polymarket's contract logic separates YES and NO shares as conditional tokens; at resolution the winning share lifts to $1.00 and the losing one to $0. The outcome input comes from the UMA Optimistic Oracle, which secures against bad resolution with a bond + dispute window.

Once finalised, the smart contract pays USDC to the holders' wallets within minutes — no withdrawal fees beyond Polygon network gas. Kalshi settles in USD via CFTC clearance, Betfair in account currency net of commission, Manifold in play-money mana with no cash-out.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is PolyGram. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does Polymarket cost to trade?
Polymarket itself charges 0% — the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction. Off-chain venues like Kalshi or Betfair charge 2-7% commission.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
On Polymarket directly, no — it's wallet-based. Intermediary brokers like PolyGram trigger KYC only above $1,500 of lifetime trading volume; under that you trade pseudonymously with a single wallet address.

Trade IEM Cologne Major 2026 Winner on PolyGram

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