Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Polymarket (via Prediction Market UK) Pick polygram.ink (preferred broker) |
96% | 4% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | See live odds → |
Polymarket (direct) polymarket.com |
96% | 4% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | See live odds → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | See live odds → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | See live odds → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | See live odds → |
Outcome probabilities
Current market-implied probability for each outcome, from the live order book.
| Outcome | Probability |
|---|---|
| O/U 26.5 | 96% |
| O/U 24.5 | 95% |
| O/U 28.5 | 94% |
| 2Q O/U 5.5 | 93% |
| Saints O/U 10.5 | 93% |
| O/U 30.5 | 91% |
| O/U 32.5 | 91% |
| Falcons O/U 10.5 | 91% |
| Saints O/U 12.5 | 91% |
| 4Q O/U 5.5 | 90% |
| Falcons O/U 12.5 | 90% |
| Saints O/U 13.5 | 90% |
| 2Q O/U 6.5 | 89% |
| Falcons O/U 13.5 | 89% |
| Saints O/U 16.5 | 87% |
| O/U 34.5 | 86% |
| 2Q O/U 7.5 | 85% |
| 4Q O/U 6.5 | 85% |
| 3Q O/U 5.5 | 82% |
| Saints 1H O/U 6.5 | 82% |
| O/U 36.5 | 81% |
| 1H O/U 16.5 | 81% |
| O/U 38.5 | 80% |
| 1Q O/U 5.5 | 79% |
| Falcons O/U 16.5 | 79% |
| 4Q O/U 7.5 | 77% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 6.5 | 77% |
| 3Q O/U 6.5 | 74% |
| O/U 40.5 | 73% |
| 1Q O/U 6.5 | 73% |
| Saints O/U 19.5 | 73% |
| 1H O/U 19.5 | 72% |
| O/U 41.5 | 68% |
| Falcons O/U 19.5 | 68% |
| Saints O/U 20.5 | 68% |
| 2Q O/U 10.5 | 67% |
| O/U 42.5 | 66% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 6.5 | 66% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 4Q | 65% |
| 2H O/U 16.5 | 64% |
| Saints 2H O/U 6.5 | 64% |
| O/U 43.5 | 63% |
| 4Q O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| Falcons O/U 20.5 | 62% |
| Saints 1H O/U 10.5 | 62% |
| O/U 44.5 | 60% |
| 2H O/U 19.5 | 60% |
| O/U 45.5 | 57% |
| 1H O/U 22.5 | 57% |
| 3Q O/U 7.5 | 57% |
| Saints O/U 23.5 | 56% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 2Q | 56% |
| O/U 46.5 | 55% |
| 1Q O/U 7.5 | 54% |
| 2Q O/U 13.5 | 54% |
| Spread -0.5 | 53% |
| 2H O/U 22.5 | 52% |
| Saints 1H O/U 12.5 | 52% |
| Saints 2H O/U 10.5 | 52% |
| O/U 47.5 | 51% |
| 2H O/U 25.5 | 51% |
| 4Q O/U 13.5 | 51% |
| Falcons O/U 23.5 | 51% |
| Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Moneyline | 50% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -16.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -17.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -20.5 | 50% |
| 2H Spread -21.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 1Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -4.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 3Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -9.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -13.5 | 50% |
| 4Q Spread -14.5 | 50% |
| Falcons Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| Saints Total Offensive Yards: O/U 350.5 | 50% |
| 2Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 3Q Moneyline | 50% |
| 4Q Moneyline | 50% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 10.5 | 49% |
| Saints Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 49% |
| Falcons vs. Saints | 48% |
| Spread -2.5 | 48% |
| O/U 48.5 | 48% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 48% |
| 2Q O/U 14.5 | 48% |
| Saints 2H O/U 12.5 | 48% |
| 1Q Moneyline | 48% |
| 1H Moneyline | 47% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 46% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 12.5 | 46% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Saints 2H O/U 13.5 | 46% |
| Falcons Total Touchdowns: O/U 2.5 | 46% |
| 2H Spread -1.5 | 45% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 45% |
| Spread -1.5 | 44% |
| 1H O/U 25.5 | 44% |
| Saints 1H O/U 13.5 | 44% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 3Q | 44% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 43% |
| Saints O/U 26.5 | 43% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 12.5 | 43% |
| O/U 50.5 | 42% |
| Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 42% |
| 1H Spread -1.5 | 41% |
| 2H Spread -5.5 | 41% |
| 4Q O/U 14.5 | 41% |
| Saints 2H O/U 16.5 | 41% |
| Both Teams to Score Points - 1Q | 41% |
| 1H Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 40% |
| 4Q Spread -4.5 | 40% |
| Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 39% |
| 2H Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 2Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 39% |
| 3Q O/U 10.5 | 39% |
| Falcons O/U 26.5 | 39% |
| Falcons vs. Saints: Total Two-Point Conversions O/U 0.5 | 39% |
| 4Q Spread -2.5 | 38% |
| Spread -4.5 | 37% |
| 1Q Spread -2.5 | 37% |
| Saints O/U 27.5 | 37% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 13.5 | 37% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 36% |
| 3Q Spread -2.5 | 36% |
| Saints 2H O/U 17.5 | 36% |
| O/U 52.5 | 35% |
| Spread -5.5 | 35% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 17.5 | 35% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 34% |
| 2H Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 34% |
| 1Q O/U 10.5 | 34% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 16.5 | 34% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Falcons 2H O/U 20.5 | 34% |
| Saints 2H O/U 19.5 | 34% |
| Saints 2H O/U 20.5 | 34% |
| Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -3.5 | 33% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -8.5 | 32% |
| 2H Spread -14.5 | 32% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 32% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 32% |
| O/U 54.5 | 31% |
| Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| Spread -6.5 | 31% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 2Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -4.5 | 31% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 31% |
| 3Q O/U 13.5 | 31% |
| Falcons O/U 27.5 | 31% |
| Spread -5.5 | 30% |
| 4Q Spread -3.5 | 30% |
| 1H O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| 2H O/U 28.5 | 30% |
| Saints 1H O/U 16.5 | 30% |
| 1H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 28% |
| 2H Spread -4.5 | 28% |
| 1Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 3Q Spread -3.5 | 28% |
| 1Q O/U 13.5 | 28% |
| O/U 56.5 | 27% |
| Spread -6.5 | 27% |
| Spread -7.5 | 27% |
| 1H Spread -5.5 | 27% |
| Saints O/U 30.5 | 27% |
| Safety? | 27% |
| 1H Spread -6.5 | 26% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 16.5 | 26% |
| Spread -8.5 | 25% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 25% |
| Spread -9.5 | 24% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 24% |
| 2H Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 23% |
| Saints 1H O/U 17.5 | 23% |
| Spread -7.5 | 22% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 22% |
| Falcons O/U 30.5 | 22% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 1-6 | 22% |
| O/U 58.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 21% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 21% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 21% |
| 1Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 2Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| 4Q Spread -6.5 | 21% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 17.5 | 21% |
| Spread -10.5 | 20% |
| 1H Spread -7.5 | 20% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 1-6 | 20% |
| O/U 60.5 | 19% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 19% |
| 3Q Spread -6.5 | 19% |
| Spread -8.5 | 18% |
| Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -9.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 18% |
| 2H Spread -7.5 | 18% |
| 3Q O/U 14.5 | 18% |
| Saints 1H O/U 19.5 | 18% |
| 1H Spread -8.5 | 17% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 17% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 17% |
| O/U 62.5 | 16% |
| Spread -10.5 | 16% |
| Spread -13.5 | 16% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 16% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 19.5 | 15% |
| Spread -14.5 | 14% |
| 2H Spread -9.5 | 14% |
| 2Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 14% |
| 1Q O/U 14.5 | 14% |
| Saints 1H O/U 20.5 | 14% |
| Spread -13.5 | 13% |
| 1H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 13% |
| 4Q Spread -7.5 | 13% |
| Spread -16.5 | 12% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 12% |
| O/U 64.5 | 11% |
| Spread -14.5 | 11% |
| 2H Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 11% |
| Falcons 1H O/U 20.5 | 11% |
| Spread -17.5 | 10% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 10% |
| Spread -19.5 | 9% |
| 2Q Spread -10.5 | 9% |
| 3Q Spread -7.5 | 9% |
| Saints O/U 34.5 | 9% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 7-13 | 9% |
| Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -16.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 8% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 8% |
| 2H Spread -13.5 | 8% |
| 1Q Spread -7.5 | 8% |
| Falcons O/U 34.5 | 8% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 7-12 | 8% |
| Spread -16.5 | 7% |
| Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -17.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -21.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -14.5 | 7% |
| 1H Spread -20.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| 4Q Spread -10.5 | 7% |
| Spread -17.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 1Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| 3Q Spread -10.5 | 6% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 14-20 | 6% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 13-18 | 5% |
| Spread -19.5 | 4% |
| Spread -20.5 | 4% |
| Spread -21.5 | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Saints by 21+ | 4% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 19-24 | 3% |
| Exact Margin: Falcons by 25+ | 2% |
| Exact Margin: Tie | 1% |
Market context
Live Polymarket data shows 96% YES probability for Falcons vs. Saints. In the upcoming NFL game, scheduled for October 5 at 8:15PM ET: If Falcons wins, the market will resolve to "Falcons". If Saints wins, the market will resolve to "Saints". If the game is postponed, th…
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $551K.
Methodology
This page reviews Falcons vs. Saints across five venues. The live probability is the Polymarket mid-price, sourced directly from the on-chain Polygon order book; the comparison columns benchmark each venue on fee structure, KYC, settlement currency and payment rails. Every CTA routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
UK Frequently Asked Questions
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- Polymarket is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. The easiest 0%-fee broker into the same order book is Prediction Market UK. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check the legal status of prediction markets in your jurisdiction before trading.
- Is Polymarket legal in the UK?
- Polymarket is accessible to UK traders but is not UKGC-licensed. It operates under US CFTC jurisdiction. UK residents face no domestic legal prohibition on using it, but UKGC consumer protections do not apply. For UKGC-regulated alternatives, Betfair Exchange and Smarkets offer similar prediction-style markets.
- Do I pay tax on prediction market profits in the UK?
- UKGC-licensed platform profits (Betfair, Smarkets) are typically tax-free gambling winnings for UK individuals. Polymarket profits involve USDC crypto transactions, which HMRC treats as Capital Gains Tax events. Keep full transaction records and report via Self Assessment if gains exceed £3,000 per tax year.
- How do I deposit on Polymarket from the UK?
- UK traders typically fund Polymarket via Coinbase UK, Kraken or Revolut — buying USDC with GBP and transferring to a Polygon-compatible wallet (MetaMask, Coinbase Wallet). Polymarket's onboarding walks you through the bridging process. Typical GBP-to-USDC conversion costs 0.5–1%.
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