What price will Ethereum hit on June 21?

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Market context

Ethereum finished around **$1,730–$1,740** on 21 June, so a prediction market on the day’s price is really asking whether ETH touched a chosen level before the settlement cut-off at 04:00 UTC on 22 June. In simple terms, a **YES** share pays out if the stated price condition is met by then; a **NO** share pays if it is not. With the crowd-implied probability at **0% YES**, traders are effectively saying that outcome is being priced as not expected, not impossible. [1][2][5]

That needs to be read against ETH’s recent range rather than against its longer-term history. The token traded near **$1,700–$1,750** across the last few sessions, and YCharts shows a June 21 close of **$1,739.16**, while Yahoo Finance and Investing.com show similar end-of-day levels. That is far below Ethereum’s early-June area around **$2,000**, and also well under its level a year earlier, so a market expecting a specific price hit on 21 June is essentially watching whether ETH can break out of a fairly tight band or remain stuck inside it. [1][2][5][7]

For traders, the main catalysts are the usual short-horizon drivers: spot Bitcoin moves, ETF-related flows into or out of crypto, and any Ethereum-specific network or regulatory headlines that shift sentiment quickly. Because this market settles on a date, even a brief intraday move can matter more than the daily close, so scheduled announcements, exchange disruptions, and macro risk events can change the odds faster than the underlying trend. Recent market data also shows ETH holding near **$1.7k**, which means a decisive move would likely need a fresh catalyst rather than just a normal drift. [1][3][5]

Sources: 1 · 2 · 3 · 4 · 5

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.

Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.

FAQ

Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?

On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.

Is this market available outside the US?

Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.

How does resolution work?

Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.

What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?

Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.

How fast are USDC deposits?

Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.