Platform comparison
| Platform | YES odds | NO odds | Fee | KYC | Settlement | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Prediction Market UK Pick polygram.ink |
0% | 100% | 0% (USDC on-chain) | No-KYC up to $1,500 | USDC, auto via UMA oracle | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Polymarket polymarket.com |
0% | 100% | 0% | Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU | USDC, on-chain | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Kalshi kalshi.com |
— | — | Up to 7% per trade | US-only, KYC required | USD | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Betfair Exchange betfair.com |
— | — | 2-5% commission | Full KYC from first trade | GBP / EUR | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Manifold Markets manifold.markets |
— | — | Play-money (mana) | None — play-money | Mana (no cash-out) | Open on Prediction Market UK → |
Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.
Active sub-markets
| 1st Half O/U 2.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Iraq O/U 1.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Venezuela O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
| Venezuela O/U 2.5 | 0% Over | 100% Under |
| Both Teams to Score in First Half | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| 1st Half O/U 0.5 | 100% Over | 0% Under |
Market context
A FIFA International Friendly between Iraq and Venezuela is scheduled for 9 June at 9:00 PM ET. This market asks whether additional betting or trading markets will be created for this fixture beyond those already live. When you purchase a YES share, you're wagering that more markets will materialise; a NO share represents the opposite view. The settlement window closes on 10 June at 01:00 UTC, giving traders roughly 16 hours after kick-off to assess whether new markets have appeared on major platforms.
International Friendlies typically attract fewer secondary markets than competitive tournaments or high-profile club fixtures. Iraq and Venezuela rank outside the top 50 nations in FIFA rankings, which historically correlates with reduced market proliferation on prediction platforms. However, friendlies involving CONMEBOL or AFC confederation sides occasionally generate additional markets if betting operators identify sufficient liquidity demand. The current 0% probability reflects the baseline expectation that standard match outcome and goal-total markets will suffice, with no appetite for niche derivatives.
Traders should monitor whether either nation announces squad changes or injury updates in the days preceding the match, as significant roster news can drive operator interest in expanded markets. The timing of the fixture—mid-week international window—matters; weekday friendlies sometimes receive lighter coverage than weekend matches. Confirmation of broadcast arrangements and any late fixture postponements would also influence whether platforms justify the operational cost of launching additional markets. Operator decisions typically emerge within hours of kick-off once match momentum becomes apparent.
Live Data & Statistics
Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $110K.
Methodology
This page reviews Iraq vs. Venezuela - More Markets across five venues. We show live odds for Polymarket-based markets (sourced from the Polygon order book); for other venues we list platform attributes, since the comparable contracts are not exposed via a public API on every venue. Every CTA points at Prediction Market UK — the application we operate, where you trade directly against the Polymarket order book at 0% fees.
Resolution & payout
Polymarket-based markets settle through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution. Payouts settle automatically in USDC the moment the result is final — no bookmaker, no delay.
Kalshi-based markets settle in USD via the CFTC-regulated clearinghouse. Betfair Exchange settles in GBP/EUR net of commission. Manifold is play-money and does not pay out real funds.
FAQ
- Where can I trade this market with the lowest fees?
- On Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book at 0% fees. Kalshi charges up to 7% per trade; Betfair Exchange takes 2-5% commission on net winnings.
- Is this market available outside the US?
- Prediction Market UK is available in most jurisdictions where Polymarket isn't directly accessible. Polymarket itself is geo-blocked in the US/UK/EU. Always check local regulations.
- How does resolution work?
- Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
- What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
- A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- How fast are USDC deposits?
- Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
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