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Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

How the prediction-market book is pricing "Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" right now, with a side-by-side platform comparison and zero-fee CTAs.

19% YES 81% NO Volume: $587K Liquidity: $435K Closes: 19 Jun 2026
Trade on Prediction Market UK →
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates

Platform comparison

PlatformYES oddsNO oddsFeeKYCSettlement
Prediction Market UK Pick
polygram.ink
 19% 81% 0% (USDC on-chain) No-KYC up to $1,500 USDC, auto via UMA oracle Open on Prediction Market UK →
Polymarket
polymarket.com
 19% 81% 0% Geo-blocked in US/UK/EU USDC, on-chain Open on Prediction Market UK →
Kalshi
kalshi.com
 — — Up to 7% per trade US-only, KYC required USD Open on Prediction Market UK →
Betfair Exchange
betfair.com
 — — 2-5% commission Full KYC from first trade GBP / EUR Open on Prediction Market UK →
Manifold Markets
manifold.markets
 — — Play-money (mana) None — play-money Mana (no cash-out) Open on Prediction Market UK →

Live odds for Polymarket-based markets come from the Polygon order book. Non-Polymarket venues show attributes only; clicking any row opens the market on Prediction Market UK.

Active sub-markets

Spread -1.519% Pittsburgh Pirates82% Miami Marlins
O/U 8.529% Over71% Under
Spread -2.517% Miami Marlins83% Pittsburgh Pirates
Spread -3.510% Miami Marlins91% Pittsburgh Pirates
Spread -4.54% Pittsburgh Pirates97% Miami Marlins
O/U 5.573% Over27% Under

Market context

Based on real-money crowd forecasting, miami marlins vs. pittsburgh pirates stands at 19% likelihood according to current market consensus. In the upcoming MLB game between the Miami Marlins and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for June 12 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Miami Marlins" if the Miami Marlins win…

Live Data & Statistics

The Polymarket order book signals 19% probability for "Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates".

YES 19% NO 81%

Live stats load when the match begins. Current market odds are shown above. Trading volume: $587K.

Methodology

This page is a comparison snapshot: one live quote (Polymarket), four reference venues with their key attributes, and a single execution path — every trade button routes to Prediction Market UK, which mirrors the Polymarket order book directly.

Resolution & payout

At resolution the UMA oracle takes over: a proposer posts the outcome with a bond, any token holder can dispute within two hours. Without dispute the result is accepted and the smart contract distributes USDC instantly.

On Kalshi (CFTC-regulated) resolution runs through their in-house clearing engine in USD. Betfair Exchange settles after match end in the account's local currency. Manifold pays no cash — only its in-platform "mana" currency.

FAQ

How does resolution work?
Through the UMA Optimistic Oracle on Polygon: a proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and USDC payouts settle automatically once the result is final.
What's the difference between YES and NO shares?
A YES share pays $1.00 if the event happens, $0 otherwise. A NO share pays $1.00 if the event doesn't happen. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
What does it cost to trade on Prediction Market UK?
Zero. Prediction Market UK routes every order to the live Polymarket order book; the only cost is the Polygon network fee, typically under $0.01 per transaction.
How fast are USDC deposits?
Polygon credits deposits after 12 confirmations — usually under 30 seconds. Withdrawals follow the same path and land back in your wallet within minutes.
Do I need to KYC for this market?
Not under $1,500 of lifetime trading volume. Above that threshold, Prediction Market UK triggers a quick verification flow that finishes in minutes.
Oliver HughesOliver HughesBlockchain & Crypto ReporterandEmma RobertsEmma RobertsFinancial Journalist

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